Gobal Insight Monthly - January 

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • Global Insight 2024 Outlook highlights: Bonds are back - Whether the U.S. economy will finally tip into recession and with the return of bonds as an attractive complement to stocks in a portfolio, investors have much to consider this year. Our 2024 Outlook examines the opportunities and challenges facing markets and asset classes in 2024.
  • Global equity: More to come - Our view laid out in the Global Insight 2024 Outlook is unchanged. We expect new highs in most major stock markets early this year, most likely followed by a U.S. recession.
  • Global fixed income: The subtraction of all fears - As the fear of inflation dissipates, along with other concerns that hung over fixed income markets in 2023, we look at what investors can expect from what should be a lower rate environment in 2024.

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Global Insight Monthly - November 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue:

  • Are equity markets entering the AI era? - Two contrasting dynamics have shaped equity markets in 2023: while a handful of tech-linked behemoths have accounted for the lion’s share of gains, the rest of the market has followed a more tepid trajectory. A key driver of this trend has been the emergence of generative artificial intelligence. But despite the stock market’s AI enthusiasm, potentially transformative technologies often bring investors more questions than answers.
  • Global equity: Two sides of the same coin - Surging bond yields have brought good news to investors overall on a couple of fronts. But they’ve also come with negative effects for equity investors. Our assessment of these dueling narratives leaves us retaining our Market Weight positioning in equities within a global portfolio.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Different month, same status - With some data still to come, there have been no sufficient changes this past month necessitating adjustments to the positioning of our seven U.S. recession indicators on the Scorecard.

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Global Insight - October 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • New normal, old normal, or no normal? - With global interest rates achieving levels not seen in over a decade, some investors are beginning to wonder whether the era of zero and negative interest rates has ended. We explore what may be in store for the future of monetary policy.
  • Global equity: A narrowing path - While stock markets are likely to push through the recent consolidation phase and into a rebound rally, we see mounting pressures on the U.S. consumer narrowing the potential path to new highs. Our assessment of the hard vs. soft landing debate leaves us committed to stocks for the time being.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Calm - The winds of change for the Recession Scorecard are at a standstill, but gusts could pick up as Q4 progresses.

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A registered account to help more Canadians enter the housing market

The tax-free first home savings account (FHSA) is a new registered account to help individuals save up to $40,000 on a tax-free basis to purchase their first home. The FHSA is a mix between a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) and a tax free savings account (TFSA). Like an RRSP, contributions you make to a FHSA are tax-deductible; like a TFSA, withdrawals you make to purchase a first home (including the investment income earned) will not be taxable. This article provides a summary of key features of the FHSA.

Click here to learn more about the FHSA

Early 2023 tax tips

When the end of the year approaches, many individuals place a greater focus on tax planning to minimize their income tax liability. Beyond the end of the year, however, there are some areas of tax planning that often get overlooked. For example, there are tax planning strategies that may only be available early in the new year. With that in mind, this article summarizes some of the strategies that have deadlines in early 2023

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Tax Preparation

With the 2022 personal income tax return filing deadline fast approaching, this is a great time to see if you’re taking advantage of all of the tax benefits you may be entitled to. The following information outlines items you may want to consider when preparing your 2022 personal income tax return.

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Pay attention to triggers for Europe

Pay attention to triggers for Europe

January 16, 2025 |Frédérique Carrier

Due to structural headwinds, we downgraded European equities to Underweight in December. Yet a number of catalysts could occur in Q1 that could be well received by equity markets. We peruse the opportunities that may emerge in European equities.

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U.S. equity returns in 2024: Premium performance

U.S. equity returns in 2024: Premium performance

January 10, 2025 |Kelly Bogdanova

We pinpoint five reasons why U.S. equities capped off a banner year in 2024 and why investors were willing to pay for premium valuations. We also offer thoughts on the environment in 2025 and how to approach portfolio positioning.

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Trend & Cycle 2025 Technical Outlook

Trend & Cycle 2025 Technical Outlook

January 08, 2025 |Robert Sluymer, CFA

Studying trends and cycles can provide a more informed view of market dynamics. We look at potential pause points, market breadth, and key interest rate levels to gauge prospects for equity upside in 2025 and how to approach sector positioning.

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How income splitting can create tax savings

How income splitting can create tax savings

January 01, 2025 |RBC Wealth Management

Find out what income splitting is, and how a prescribed rate loan strategy may be beneficial for you as part of tax planning.

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Five ways to pay less tax in retirement

Five ways to pay less tax in retirement

January 01, 2025 |RBC Wealth Management

These strategies can help you maintain the lifestyle you had while working.

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Financial planning: Nine key areas of focus

Financial planning: Nine key areas of focus

January 01, 2025 |RBC Wealth Management

Important aspects to consider in organizing your financial picture.

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The Fed approaches a new phase of interest rate policy

The Fed approaches a new phase of interest rate policy

December 19, 2024 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

Markets head lower following a hawkish rate cut by the U.S. Federal Reserve. We discuss the reasons behind the Fed’s shift and if investors really need to fear higher rates caused by stronger growth.

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U.S. productivity renaissance

U.S. productivity renaissance

December 12, 2024 |Joseph Wu, CFA

Higher productivity has propelled the U.S. economy ahead of its major peers in recent years, offering a blueprint for other countries and raising the stakes in the global race to harness emergent technologies such as GenAI.

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Video: Bank of Canada makes final rate cut of 2024

Video: Bank of Canada makes final rate cut of 2024

December 12, 2024 |RBC Wealth Management

The Bank of Canada lowered its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point again in December, to 3.25%.

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Global Insight 2025 Outlook executive summary: Beyond the horizon

Global Insight 2025 Outlook executive summary: Beyond the horizon

December 06, 2024 |The Global Portfolio Advisory Committee
With a second Trump administration in the U.S. eyeing an ambitious agenda and trade tensions coming to the fore, how should investors position portfolios? Our 2025 Outlook examines the issues and opportunities facing economies and markets in 2025 and...
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