Gobal Insight Monthly - January 

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • Global Insight 2024 Outlook highlights: Bonds are back - Whether the U.S. economy will finally tip into recession and with the return of bonds as an attractive complement to stocks in a portfolio, investors have much to consider this year. Our 2024 Outlook examines the opportunities and challenges facing markets and asset classes in 2024.
  • Global equity: More to come - Our view laid out in the Global Insight 2024 Outlook is unchanged. We expect new highs in most major stock markets early this year, most likely followed by a U.S. recession.
  • Global fixed income: The subtraction of all fears - As the fear of inflation dissipates, along with other concerns that hung over fixed income markets in 2023, we look at what investors can expect from what should be a lower rate environment in 2024.

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Global Insight Monthly - November 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue:

  • Are equity markets entering the AI era? - Two contrasting dynamics have shaped equity markets in 2023: while a handful of tech-linked behemoths have accounted for the lion’s share of gains, the rest of the market has followed a more tepid trajectory. A key driver of this trend has been the emergence of generative artificial intelligence. But despite the stock market’s AI enthusiasm, potentially transformative technologies often bring investors more questions than answers.
  • Global equity: Two sides of the same coin - Surging bond yields have brought good news to investors overall on a couple of fronts. But they’ve also come with negative effects for equity investors. Our assessment of these dueling narratives leaves us retaining our Market Weight positioning in equities within a global portfolio.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Different month, same status - With some data still to come, there have been no sufficient changes this past month necessitating adjustments to the positioning of our seven U.S. recession indicators on the Scorecard.

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Global Insight - October 2023

By Portfolio Advisory Group

In this month's issue: 

  • New normal, old normal, or no normal? - With global interest rates achieving levels not seen in over a decade, some investors are beginning to wonder whether the era of zero and negative interest rates has ended. We explore what may be in store for the future of monetary policy.
  • Global equity: A narrowing path - While stock markets are likely to push through the recent consolidation phase and into a rebound rally, we see mounting pressures on the U.S. consumer narrowing the potential path to new highs. Our assessment of the hard vs. soft landing debate leaves us committed to stocks for the time being.
  • U.S. recession scorecard: Calm - The winds of change for the Recession Scorecard are at a standstill, but gusts could pick up as Q4 progresses.

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A registered account to help more Canadians enter the housing market

The tax-free first home savings account (FHSA) is a new registered account to help individuals save up to $40,000 on a tax-free basis to purchase their first home. The FHSA is a mix between a registered retirement savings plan (RRSP) and a tax free savings account (TFSA). Like an RRSP, contributions you make to a FHSA are tax-deductible; like a TFSA, withdrawals you make to purchase a first home (including the investment income earned) will not be taxable. This article provides a summary of key features of the FHSA.

Click here to learn more about the FHSA

Early 2023 tax tips

When the end of the year approaches, many individuals place a greater focus on tax planning to minimize their income tax liability. Beyond the end of the year, however, there are some areas of tax planning that often get overlooked. For example, there are tax planning strategies that may only be available early in the new year. With that in mind, this article summarizes some of the strategies that have deadlines in early 2023

Continue to article here

 

Tax Preparation

With the 2022 personal income tax return filing deadline fast approaching, this is a great time to see if you’re taking advantage of all of the tax benefits you may be entitled to. The following information outlines items you may want to consider when preparing your 2022 personal income tax return.

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Global Insight 2025 Outlook executive summary: Beyond the horizon

Global Insight 2025 Outlook executive summary: Beyond the horizon

December 06, 2024 |The Global Portfolio Advisory Committee
With a second Trump administration in the U.S. eyeing an ambitious agenda and trade tensions coming to the fore, how should investors position portfolios? Our 2025 Outlook examines the issues and opportunities facing economies and markets in 2025 and...
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Video: What investors can expect in 2025

Video: What investors can expect in 2025

December 03, 2024 |Global Insight

Learn what’s on the horizon for markets and the Canadian dollar—and discover four interesting investing opportunities.

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Global Insight 2025 Outlook: Canada

Global Insight 2025 Outlook: Canada

December 03, 2024 |Sunny Singh, CFA, and Josh Nye

Despite potential headwinds, we are generally constructive on Canadian markets, though we expect less outperformance in credit.

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Pondering a U.S. policy potpourri

Pondering a U.S. policy potpourri

November 22, 2024 |Atul Bhatia, CFA

How can investors separate the policy changes that are likely to really matter for the economy from those that get a lot of press but may not have the most traction?

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Fed rate cuts for what?

Fed rate cuts for what?

November 15, 2024 |Thomas Garretson, CFA

The Fed has cut policy rates by 75 basis points since September only to see longer-term Treasury yields and mortgage rates increase by the same degree. We take a closer look at this divergence and its implications.

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U.S. presidential election: Back to the future

U.S. presidential election: Back to the future

November 08, 2024 |Kelly Bogdanova

In a historic political comeback, Donald Trump has again won the presidency. We look at the policies like taxes and tariffs shaping the investment climate. With political polarization high, don’t let emotions cloud your investment decisions.

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The end of China’s challenging chapter?

The end of China’s challenging chapter?

October 31, 2024 |Frédérique Carrier

China’s economy is struggling. A coordinated stimulus to curb the crippling housing crisis and support local governments is being announced. We explore the measures undertaken and contemplated and their potential implications for portfolios.

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Bigger BRICS: Building a multipolar world?

Bigger BRICS: Building a multipolar world?

October 25, 2024 |Kelly Bogdanova
Our ongoing “Worlds Apart” series looks at the just-concluded BRICS summit and how the group aims to rebalance the global order. We believe the shift to a multipolar, more fragmented world argues for viewing portfolio allocations through a different lens...
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Video: Bank of Canada cuts again in October. Find out why and what lies ahead.

Bank of Canada cuts again in October. Find out why and what lies ahead.

October 24, 2024 |RBC Wealth Management

The Bank of Canada lowered its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point in October, to 3.75%.

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Inflation moving to the back burner, but still simmering

Inflation moving to the back burner, but still simmering

October 18, 2024 |Josh Nye

Central banks’ inflation targets are in sight, but not all price trends have normalized. Inflation isn’t the headache it was, but investors should keep it in mind in their asset allocation decisions.

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